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Limonest vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Le Bihan M.
90' Event
Gyeboaho C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Limonest and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Limonest
15%
Draws
59%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Limonest come out ahead of Frejus Saint Raphael on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Limonest Clean Sheet 18%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limonest Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Limonest
1:4
Nov 22, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limonest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Bihan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gyeboaho C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limonest 32 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limonest Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Limonest's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Frejus Saint Raphael conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Limonest has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Limonest VS Frejus Saint Raphael
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Limonest

(Home)
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
29 Aug
Limonest
0 : 1
Touraine
21 Aug
Hyeres
2 : 2
Limonest
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
09 May
Creteil
2 : 0
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)