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Limonest vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Le Bihan M.
90' Event
Gyeboaho C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 game between Limonest and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Limonest
28%
Draws
22%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Limonest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Frejus Saint Raphael have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Limonest are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Model gives Limonest a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Limonest Clean Sheet 68%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limonest Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Limonest
1:4
Nov 22, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limonest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Bihan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gyeboaho C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limonest 59 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limonest Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Limonest found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Limonest has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Limonest VS Frejus Saint Raphael
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Limonest

(Home)
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
09 May
Creteil
2 : 0
Limonest
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 2
Limonest
18 Apr
Limonest
2 : 0
Toulon
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Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
FC Bobigny 93
1 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 0
Saint Priest
18 Apr
Rumilly Vallieres
1 : 3
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cannes30179453:3060
2Nimes30185746:2559
3St. Maur Lusitanos301510540:2455
4Rumilly Vallieres30138949:3647
5Hyeres301112736:2745
6Andrezieux30129948:3345
7Istres301110942:3243
8Creteil301271136:3443
9GOAL FC301181138:4640
10RC Grasse30991241:4236
11Frejus Saint Raphael30981337:5035
12Limonest30971436:4934
13FC Bobigny 93307111229:3132
14Toulon308101238:4731
15Saint Priest30791435:5030
16Rousset Ste Victoire30262228:7612
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)