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Limonest vs Istres

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National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Limonest and Istres finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Limonest
35%
Draws
24%
Istres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Limonest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Istres come out ahead of Limonest on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Limonest taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Limonest Clean Sheet 19%
Istres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limonest Istres
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Istres
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Istres vs Limonest
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Istres
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limonest 40 / 100
Istres 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limonest Istres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limonest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limonest's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Istres conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Limonest has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Limonest VS Istres
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Limonest

(Home)
19 Sept
Limonest
1 : 1
Istres
11 Sept
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Limonest
29 Aug
Limonest
0 : 1
Touraine
21 Aug
Hyeres
2 : 2
Limonest
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
Page 1 of 6

Istres

(Away)
19 Sept
Limonest
1 : 1
Istres
12 Sept
Istres
0 : 0
Touraine
05 Sept
Hyeres
3 : 0
Istres
29 Aug
Istres
1 : 2
Hauts Lyonnais
22 Aug
Troyes II
0 : 0
Istres
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Hyeres 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
3 Toulon 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
4 Touraine 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Hauts Lyonnais 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
6 Troyes II 5 2 1 2 6:10 7
7 Andrezieux 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
8 Rumilly Vallieres 5 2 0 3 11:7 6
9 GOAL FC 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
10 Frejus Saint Raphael 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
11 Limonest 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Saint Priest 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
13 Bourges 18 4 0 4 0 1:1 4
14 Istres 5 0 3 2 2:6 3
15 Lyon - La Duchere 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
16 Chateauroux 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)