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Limonest vs Istres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Moirabou T.
70'
Relange T.
72' Event
Raspentino F.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group C game between Limonest and Istres finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Limonest
35%
Draws
32%
Istres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Limonest come out ahead of Istres on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Limonest taking it.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Limonest Clean Sheet 20%
Istres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limonest Istres
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.28 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Istres
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Istres vs Limonest
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Limonest vs Istres
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limonest Compare

Top Goalscorer Raspentino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Istres Compare

Top Goalscorer Moirabou T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limonest 58 / 100
Istres 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limonest Istres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limonest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limonest's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Istres conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Limonest has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Limonest VS Istres
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Limonest

(Home)
11 Nov
Toulon
1 : 0
Limonest
06 Nov
Limonest
2 : 2
Andrezieux
31 Oct
Nimes
2 : 2
Limonest
17 Oct
Limonest
1 : 1
Saint Priest
03 Oct
Rumilly Vallieres
4 : 1
Limonest
Page 1 of 6

Istres

(Away)
10 Nov
Nimes
3 : 0
Istres
07 Nov
Istres
0 : 0
Saint Priest
31 Oct
Rumilly Vallieres
5 : 0
Istres
02 Oct
Istres
0 : 0
Chateauroux
19 Sept
Limonest
1 : 1
Istres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 Rumilly Vallieres 9 6 0 3 31:14 18
3 Toulon 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Frejus Saint Raphael 9 5 1 3 19:13 16
5 Hauts Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 12:10 16
6 Troyes II 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
7 Hyeres 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
8 Touraine 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
9 Andrezieux 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Saint Priest 10 2 5 3 12:17 11
11 GOAL FC 8 2 4 2 11:9 10
12 Limonest 9 1 5 3 10:14 8
13 Lyon - La Duchere 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
14 Bourges 18 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
15 Canet Roussillon 9 1 3 5 4:15 6
16 Istres 9 0 5 4 2:14 5
17 Chateauroux 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)