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Linares Unido vs Colchagua CD

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Fiscal de Linares
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Linares Unido play Colchagua CD in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Linares Unido averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Colchagua CD averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Linares Unido won 1, Colchagua CD won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Linares Unido and 1.50 for Colchagua CD. This points to a Linares Unido double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Linares Unido
26%
Draws
28%
Colchagua CD
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Linares Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Linares Unido picked up more points recently compared to Colchagua CD.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Linares Unido Clean Sheet 16%
Colchagua CD Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linares Unido Colchagua CD
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs Linares Unido
3:0
Feb 6, 2021 Segunda Division
Linares Unido vs Colchagua CD
1:1
Dec 23, 2020 Segunda Division
Colchagua CD vs Linares Unido
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linares Unido 45 / 100
Colchagua CD 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linares Unido Colchagua CD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Linares Unido or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Linares Unido attacking → ← attacking Colchagua CD

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linares Unido scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Colchagua CD let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Linares Unido went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Colchagua CD lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 35
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santiago City1155116:1520
2Brujas Salamanca114709:419
3Concon National1153312:818
4Trasandino1153318:1518
5Real San Joaquin1134415:1213
6Atletico Colina1123610:139
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Osorno1165013:323
2Colchagua CD1164115:722
3Linares Unido1151512:1216
4General Velasquez114169:1513
5Lota Schwager113359:1112
6Deportes Rengo1132610:1511
7S. Morning122469:1410