Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015

Espanol Alquian

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Linares play Espanol Alquian in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. Linares are favorites here. Recently, Linares averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Espanol Alquian averaged 0.34 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Linares won 3, Espanol Alquian won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2015 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Linares and 1.31 for Espanol Alquian. This points to a Linares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%

Linares

19%

Draws

12%

Espanol Alquian

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Linares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Linares picked up more points recently compared to Espanol Alquian.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Linares Clean Sheet 18%

Espanol Alquian Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Linares	Espanol Alquian
Matches Played	36	32
Wins	15	3
Draws	11	0
Losses	10	29
Goals Scored	1.69	0.34
Goals Conceded	1.28	3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Linares vs Espanol Alquian

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Sep 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Espanol Alquian vs Linares

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

2:4

Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Linares vs Espanol Alquian

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Oct 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Espanol Alquian vs Linares

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linares 66 / 100

Espanol Alquian 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Linares Espanol Alquian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linares Win (1)

Secondary Pick Linares & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.2%

1.64

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Linares attacking → ← attacking Espanol Alquian

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linares scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Espanol Alquian let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Linares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Espanol Alquian lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 9

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linares	38	27	7	4	88:26	88
2	Malaga B	38	23	6	9	69:36	75
3	UD San Pedro	38	21	10	7	65:35	73
4	Martos	38	22	5	11	66:42	71
5	Loja	38	20	9	9	55:36	69
6	Huetor Tajar	38	17	11	10	53:37	62
7	Los Villares	38	15	13	10	43:37	58
8	Maracena	38	16	9	13	66:52	57
9	Guadix	38	11	18	9	49:49	51
10	Mancha	38	13	11	14	36:34	50
11	Velez	38	13	10	15	49:47	49
12	Espanol Alquian	38	14	6	18	53:70	48
13	Ejido	38	13	8	17	55:75	47
14	CD Ronda	38	12	7	19	52:63	43
15	Antequera	38	10	12	16	51:55	42
16	Alhaurin	38	11	8	19	43:74	41
17	Atarfe Industrial	38	9	10	19	53:70	37
18	Villacarrillo	38	8	7	23	32:64	31
19	Atletico Melilla	38	7	9	22	29:58	30
20	Los Molinos CF	38	6	8	24	32:79	26