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Stadium Background

Lincoln City vs Portsmouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship LNER stadium, Lincoln
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kavuma McQueen R.
Assist: Kamara A.
16' Event
Segecic A.
32' Event
Hackett-Fairchild R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Portsmouth in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portsmouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lincoln City
20%
Draws
36%
Portsmouth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Lincoln City have won more games recently than Portsmouth.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 22%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln City Portsmouth
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Championship
Lincoln City vs Portsmouth
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 League One
Lincoln City vs Portsmouth
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 League One
Portsmouth vs Lincoln City
2:1
Feb 18, 2023 League One
Lincoln City vs Portsmouth
0:0
Aug 6, 2022 League One
Portsmouth vs Lincoln City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lincoln City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Portsmouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavuma McQueen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Segecic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln City 32 / 100
Portsmouth 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln City Portsmouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lincoln City scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Portsmouth has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lincoln City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln City VS Portsmouth
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln City

(Home)
10 Oct
Sheffield Utd
3 : 0
Lincoln City
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1
Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0
Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6

Portsmouth

(Away)
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2
Derby
29 Aug
Bristol City
2 : 1
Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 9 6 2 1 15:7 20
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 17:12 18
3 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
4 Stoke City 9 5 1 3 15:13 16
5 Wolves 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
6 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
7 Birmingham 9 3 5 1 13:11 14
8 Millwall 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
9 West Brom 9 4 2 3 10:9 14
10 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 12:13 14
11 Charlton 9 3 4 2 8:11 13
12 Blackburn 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
13 Sheffield Utd 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
14 Wrexham 9 2 5 2 10:13 11
15 Lincoln City 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
16 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
17 Bolton 9 3 1 5 12:17 10
18 Norwich 9 3 0 6 17:19 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Cardiff 9 1 4 4 11:14 7
22 Burnley 9 1 4 4 13:17 7
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8:15 6
24 Preston 9 1 1 7 8:16 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)