Sport Picks
Lincoln City vs Southampton Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Championship LNER stadium, Lincoln 
Match Events
43'
43'
McGrandles C.
44'
44'
Santos W.
Assist: Ward-Prowse J.
54'
54'
Shaw T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southampton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Southampton at 2.03 per game, Lincoln City at 1.6.
- Model gives Southampton a 37% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 11%
Southampton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lincoln City | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Lincoln City vs Southampton
1:1
Dec 20, 2022 EFL Cup
Southampton vs Lincoln City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lincoln City Compare
Top Goalscorer Ladefoged M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Southampton Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lincoln City 22 / 100
Southampton 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lincoln City Southampton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southampton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lincoln City's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Southampton has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Lincoln City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lincoln City VS Southampton
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lincoln City
(Home) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
01 Sept
Lincoln City
0 : 0 Blackburn
22 Aug
Lincoln City
1 : 3 Portsmouth
17 Jul
Lincoln City
0 : 2 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 3
Southampton
(Away) 19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Wrexham
2 : 1 Southampton
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1 Southampton
16 Aug
Watford
2 : 1 Southampton
08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2 Southampton
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
