Sport Picks
Lincoln City vs Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship LNER stadium, Lincoln 
Match Events
6'
6'
House B.
25'
25'
Towler R.
38'
38'
Tymon J.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Lincoln City and Swansea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swansea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lincoln City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Swansea a 47% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 20%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lincoln City | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Lincoln City vs Swansea
1:2
Apr 9, 2005 League Two
Lincoln City vs Swansea
1:0
Aug 30, 2004 League Two
Swansea vs Lincoln City
1:0
Apr 10, 2004 League Two
Lincoln City vs Swansea
2:1
Oct 3, 2003 League Two
Swansea vs Lincoln City
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lincoln City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Yeo M. K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eustaquio S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lincoln City 12 / 100
Swansea 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lincoln City Swansea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lincoln City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Swansea conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Lincoln City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lincoln City VS Swansea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lincoln City
(Home) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
01 Sept
Lincoln City
0 : 0 Blackburn
22 Aug
Lincoln City
1 : 3 Portsmouth
17 Jul
Lincoln City
0 : 2 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 2
Swansea
(Away) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
29 Aug
Derby
0 : 3 Swansea
15 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Swansea
28 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0 Swansea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
