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Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk Split - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Conference League Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar
Lincoln Red Imps Logo

Lincoln Red Imps

Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Hajduk Split Logo

Hajduk Split

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lincoln Red Imps host Hajduk Split in the Conference League. This one's hard to separate. Lincoln Red Imps have averaged 1.89 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Hajduk Split's 2.03 scored and 1 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.25 - 1.13) back Hajduk Split to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lincoln Red Imps
15%
Draws
54%
Hajduk Split
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hajduk Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hajduk Split lately — more wins on the board than Lincoln Red Imps.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 20%
Hajduk Split Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln Red Imps Hajduk Split
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.89 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Red Imps 32 / 100
Hajduk Split 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln Red Imps Hajduk Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lincoln Red Imps scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Lincoln Red Imps has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hajduk Split's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Hajduk Split's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln Red Imps VS Hajduk Split
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln Red Imps

(Home)
22 Oct
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 4
Twente
18 Oct
Lynx
1 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
15 Oct
Brann
2 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
10 Oct
Lincoln Red Imps
2 : 0
Europa FC
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
Page 1 of 6

Hajduk Split

(Away)
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Varazdin
15 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Ajax
10 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Lugano 2 2 0 0 8:4 6
3 Brann 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Monaco 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
7 St. Truiden 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
8 Hajduk Split 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
9 Brighton 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
10 FC Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
11 Univ. Craiova 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
12 Mjallby 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
13 Ajax 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
15 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16 Braga 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17 Gent 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
18 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
19 Nordsjaelland 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
20 KF Egnatia 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
21 Riga FC 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
22 Crvena zvezda 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
23 CSKA Sofia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
24 Jablonec 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
25 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
27 Pafos 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
28 Hearts 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
29 Iberia 1999 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
30 Getafe 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
31 Kairat Almaty 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
32 Thun 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
34 KuPS 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Inter Escaldes 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)