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Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lincoln Red Imps host St Josephs in the National League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lincoln Red Imps have averaged 2.07 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against St Josephs's 3.14 scored and 0.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Lincoln Red Imps have won 3 to St Josephs's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.31) back Lincoln Red Imps to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lincoln Red Imps
20%
Draws
35%
St Josephs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: St Josephs at 3.14 per game, Lincoln Red Imps at 2.07.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 18%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln Red Imps St Josephs
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.07 3.14
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
0:0
Aug 23, 2026 Super Cup
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Red Imps 32 / 100
St Josephs 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln Red Imps St Josephs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lincoln Red Imps found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Lincoln Red Imps stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

St Josephs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln Red Imps VS St Josephs
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln Red Imps

(Home)
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
04 Sept
Lincoln Red Imps
4 : 0
Europa Point
30 Aug
Glacis United
0 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3
Lincoln Red Imps
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
Page 1 of 6

St Josephs

(Away)
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6
St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magpies 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
2 St Josephs 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Lincoln Red Imps 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
4 Mons Calpe 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
5 Glacis United 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 2 1 2 10:11 7
7 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
8 Europa FC 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
9 College 1975 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
10 Hound Dogs 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
11 Lynx 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - National League (Championship Group)
Relegation - National League (Relegation Group)