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Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between Lincoln Red Imps and St Josephs finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lincoln Red Imps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lincoln Red Imps
6%
Draws
4%
St Josephs
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lincoln Red Imps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lincoln Red Imps's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 20%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln Red Imps St Josephs
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:4
Nov 23, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Red Imps 85 / 100
St Josephs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln Red Imps St Josephs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lincoln Red Imps scored in 97% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Lincoln Red Imps stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

St Josephs let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln Red Imps VS St Josephs
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln Red Imps

(Home)
14 Jul
Inter Escaldes
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
07 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
Inter Escaldes
25 Apr
Lincoln Red Imps
4 : 1
Lynx
18 Apr
Lincoln Red Imps
2 : 0
Europa FC
11 Apr
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
Page 1 of 7

St Josephs

(Away)
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
09 Jul
Bohemians
2 : 0
St Josephs
26 Apr
St Josephs
3 : 3
Lions Gibraltar
18 Apr
Mons Calpe
3 : 2
St Josephs
11 Apr
Europa FC
0 : 0
St Josephs
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln Red Imps27233189:1772
2St Josephs27203496:1763
3Europa FC27182754:2056
4Mons Calpe27181866:3555
5Lions Gibraltar271341053:4443
6Lynx271041338:4534
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)