Sport Picks
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs Prediction & H2H Stats
Gibraltar
Super Cup 
Match Events
13'
13'
Ferron Ruiz F. J.
90'
90'
Toledano M.
100'
100'
Gomez K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lincoln Red Imps come out ahead of St Josephs on wins alone.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Lincoln Red Imps taking it.
- Lincoln Red Imps have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lincoln Red Imps, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 15%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lincoln Red Imps | St Josephs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.16 | 3.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
0:0
Aug 23, 2026 Super Cup
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lincoln Red Imps Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Toledano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
St Josephs Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferron Ruiz F. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lincoln Red Imps 48 / 100
St Josephs 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lincoln Red Imps St Josephs
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lincoln Red Imps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lincoln Red Imps scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Recent resilience: Lincoln Red Imps stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Defensive concern: St Josephs conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Lincoln Red Imps VS St Josephs
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lincoln Red Imps
(Home) 13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1 Lincoln Red Imps
04 Sept
Lincoln Red Imps
4 : 0 Europa Point
30 Aug
Glacis United
0 : 2 Lincoln Red Imps
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3 Lincoln Red Imps
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1 St Josephs
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
Lincoln Red Imps
4 : 0 Europa Point
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1 St Josephs
20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 2 Larne
06 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
1 : 1 Omonia
28 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 0 Mjallby
Page 1 of 3
St Josephs
(Away) 19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6 St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0 Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1 Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1 St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0 Bohemians
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6 St Josephs
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1 St Josephs
09 Jul
Bohemians
2 : 0 St Josephs
18 Apr
Mons Calpe
3 : 2 St Josephs
11 Apr
Europa FC
0 : 0 St Josephs
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Lincoln Red Imps 3
St Josephs 1
