Sport Picks

Gibraltar

National League Victoria Stadium

St Josephs

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lincoln Red Imps play St Josephs in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lincoln Red Imps averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. St Josephs averaged 3.31 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. In past meetings, Lincoln Red Imps won 3, St Josephs won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Lincoln Red Imps and 1.06 for St Josephs. This points to a Lincoln Red Imps double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Lincoln Red Imps

15%

Draws

38%

St Josephs

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Lincoln Red Imps picked up more points recently compared to St Josephs.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 22%

St Josephs Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lincoln Red Imps	St Josephs
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	23	20
Draws	4	4
Losses	3	5
Goals Scored	2.63	3.31
Goals Conceded	0.77	0.62
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League

Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Feb 1, 2026 Gibraltar Cup

St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Jan 14, 2026 National League

Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Nov 23, 2025 National League

St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Apr 5, 2025 National League

St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Red Imps 47 / 100

St Josephs 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lincoln Red Imps St Josephs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lincoln Red Imps or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lincoln Red Imps attacking → ← attacking St Josephs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lincoln Red Imps scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

St Josephs let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lincoln Red Imps went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

St Josephs lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 64

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln Red Imps	22	19	2	1	79:14	59
2	St Josephs	22	19	1	2	90:10	58
3	Mons Calpe	22	15	1	6	55:24	46
4	Europa FC	22	15	1	6	44:16	46
5	Lions Gibraltar	22	12	2	8	47:34	38
6	Lynx	22	10	4	8	34:33	34
7	Magpies	22	8	2	12	22:37	26
8	Europa Point	22	7	1	14	31:61	22
9	College 1975	22	3	5	14	15:45	14
10	Glacis United	22	3	3	16	18:57	12
11	Hound Dogs	22	1	5	16	10:66	8
12	Manchester 62	22	6	1	15	29:77	7