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Lincoln Utd. vs Carlton Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Sat, Sep 24, 2022
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Lincoln Utd. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lincoln Utd.
15%
Draws
28%
Carlton Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Carlton Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lincoln Utd.'s way, sitting at 50%.
  • Carlton Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lincoln Utd., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lincoln Utd. Clean Sheet 18%
Carlton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln Utd. Carlton Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2022 FA Trophy
Lincoln Utd. vs Carlton Town
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Utd. 49 / 100
Carlton Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln Utd. Carlton Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Utd. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlton Town let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Lincoln Utd. found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Carlton Town's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln Utd. VS Carlton Town
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln Utd.

(Home)
29 Aug
Lincoln Utd.
1 : 2
Nuneaton
10 Jul
Lincoln Utd.
2 : 1
Lincoln City U23
07 Jul
Basford Utd.
4 : 3
Lincoln Utd.
20 Sept
Lincoln Utd.
0 : 2
Malvern Town
06 Sept
Coventry Sphinx
0 : 2
Lincoln Utd.
Page 1 of 6

Carlton Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Carlton Town
2 : 3
Shepshed
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
20 Sept
Shifnal Town
2 : 1
Carlton Town
13 Sept
Matlock
3 : 0
Carlton Town
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Trafford 1
Hebburn Town 2
Witton Albion 3
Stockton 4
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Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bootle -
Grimsby Borough -
Mossley AFC 1
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 7
Tadcaster Albion 0
Widnes FC 2
Skelmersdale 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
TBD -
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TBD -
Bridlington Town 1
Colne 2
Shildon 1
Consett 2
North Shields 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Sheffield FC 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ossett United 3
Guiseley -
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Whitby -
Morpeth -
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Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
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Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
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South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Glossop North End 1
Clitheroe 2
1874 Northwich 1
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Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
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Coleshill Town 3
Neots 2
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Leek Town -
Stratford -
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Royston Town -
Leiston -
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Aylesbury United 0
Evesham 3
Sholing 0
Lymington 1
Gainsborough -
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Barwell -
Long Eaton 2
Gresley 0
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Corby 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cleethorpes 1
Brighouse Town 0
Worksop 2
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Daventry 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Carlton Town 2
Hanley Town 0
Wroxham 4
East Grinstead Town 1
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 2
Nuneaton -
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Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Hinckley LR 4
Cambridge City 4
Yaxley 1
Needham Market -
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Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
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Redditch -
Kempston 0
Dereham 1
Newcastle Town 0
Spalding United 2
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Stafford -
Belper Town -
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St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
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Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 4
Sporting Khalsa 3
Stamford 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Grantham Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 5
Biggleswade FC 2
Barton 0
Chatham 1
Bury Town 1
Stowmarket Town 2
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
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Bedworth United 0
Harborough 1
Shepshed 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Bedford -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Lancing 1
Cray Valley 4
East Thurrock Utd 3
Sutton Common Rovers 1
Great Wakering 1
Harlow 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ashford Town 3
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Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
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Welwyn Garden 1
New Salamis FC 2
Gorleston 1
Coggeshall Town 2
South Park 1
Sittingbourne 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Burgess Hill 3
Northwood 0
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 1
Ramsgate 0
Hendon -
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Thame United 2
Westbury United 0
Marlow 0
Binfield 4
Haringey Borough -
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Brightlingsea -
Chertsey Town 1
Uxbridge 3
Bedfont Sports 3
Hashtag 2
Walton & Hersham 3
Leatherhead 1
Haywards Heath 0
Southall FC 1
Ashford United 4
Sudbury 3
Three Bridges 3
Hullbridge 2
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Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
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Cray Wanderers -
VCD Athletic 0
Grays 3
Merstham 3
Hythe 0
Romania 2
Westfield 1
Chichester City 0
Faversham 1
Horsham FC -
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Aveley -
Billericay -
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Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
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Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
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Hastings -
FC Witham Town 1
Brentwood 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Ware 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
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Hadley 1
Sevenoaks 2
Sheppey United 3
Hertford Town 4
Corinthian-Casuals -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
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Stortford -
Enfield Town -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Beckenham Town 1
Heybridge 2
Chipstead 4
Waltham Abbey 2
Folkestone -
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Tooting & Mitcham 0
Corinthian 1
Tilbury 1
Whitehawk 2
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
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Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
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AFC Totton 2
Slimbridge 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Exmouth Town 0
Truro -
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Salisbury -
Yate -
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Weston-super-Mare -
Kidlington 0
Tavistock 1
Didcot 2
Hamworthy United 1
Bashley 4
Frome Town 1
Larkhall 0
Melksham 2
Swindon Supermarine -
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Basingstoke 3
Cirencester 5
Highworth 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Wimborne 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Willand Rovers 0
Bideford 3
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Semi-finals
Nantwich -
TBD -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Hebburn Town 3
Stockton 1
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Bootle 0
Dunston 3
Macclesfield 5
Widnes FC 1
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
TBD -
Colne 1
Consett 0
North Shields 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett United 2
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Clitheroe 4
TBD -
Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 4
Leek Town 5
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
Evesham 1
Lymington 0
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Long Eaton 0
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Prescot Cables 1
Worksop 3
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Carlton Town 1
Wroxham 5
Lowestoft 1
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Hinckley LR 1
Cambridge City 0
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Dereham 0
Spalding United 1
TBD -
Stafford -
Belper Town -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 0
Chatham 0
Stowmarket Town 1
TBD -
Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Harborough 2
Shepshed 1
Bedford -
TBD -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
TBD -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
TBD -
Cray Valley 5
East Thurrock Utd 3
Harlow 4
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
New Salamis FC 3
Coggeshall Town 0
Sittingbourne 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 2
Hendon -
TBD -
Thame United 1
Binfield 2
Haringey Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Uxbridge 2
Bedfont Sports 0
Walton & Hersham 4
Southall FC 0
Ashford United 2
Three Bridges 0
TBD -
Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Grays 4
Merstham 1
Romania 2
Faversham 3
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings -
FC Witham Town 2
Ware 1
Thatcham 0
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
TBD -
Sevenoaks 3
Hertford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesham -
Potters -
TBD -
Heybridge 2
Chipstead 1
Folkestone -
TBD -
Corinthian 2
Whitehawk 4
Kingstonian -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
AFC Totton 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Tavistock 1
Didcot 0
Bashley 2
Melksham 3
Swindon Supermarine -
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Cirencester 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Bideford 2
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Final
Nantwich 0
Warrington Rylands 2
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Hebburn Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 0
Dunston 1
Macclesfield 6
Bamber Bridge 1
Hyde 2
Colne 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ossett United 1
Guiseley 3
Whitby 1
Morpeth 2
Lancaster 3
United of Manchester 0
Liversedge 1
Stalybridge 1
South Shields 2
Clitheroe 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
Leek Town 3
Stratford 1
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Evesham 0
Gainsborough 3
Barwell 1
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Worksop 2
Coalville Town 4
Ilkeston 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Wroxham 3
Nuneaton 2
Hinckley LR 0
Needham Market 0
Stourbridge 1
Hitchin 0
Redditch 3
Spalding United 1
Stafford 2
Belper Town 2
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Tamworth 4
Bromsgrove 0
Chasetown 3
Matlock 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stowmarket Town 2
Mickleover 1
Basford Utd. 2
Harborough 1
Bedford 0
Alvechurch 3
Rushall 3
Hednesford 4
Carshalton 3
Cray Valley 2
Harlow 3
Hornchurch 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
New Salamis FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Hendon 0
Binfield 1
Haringey Borough 1
Brightlingsea 0
Uxbridge 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Ashford United 1
Kings Langley 2
Hanwell Town 3
Cray Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Faversham 0
Horsham FC 4
Aveley 3
Billericay 2
Margate 0
Beaconsfield Town 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Metropolitan Police 0
Hastings 1
FC Witham Town 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 0
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Harrow Borough 3
Herne Bay 1
Stortford 2
Enfield Town 0
Chesham 4
Potters 0
Heybridge 2
Folkestone 2
Whitehawk 1
Kingstonian 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Bognor Regis 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Canvey Island 1
Bracknell Town 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Merthyr Town 0
AFC Totton 1
Truro 1
Salisbury 0
Yate 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Tavistock 3
Melksham 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Cirencester 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gosport Borough 0
North Leigh 4
Tiverton 3
Winchester City 2
Poole Town 0
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