Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lincoln Utd. vs Romulus

England England

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lincoln Utd.
15%
Draws
28%
Romulus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Romulus come out ahead of Lincoln Utd. on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Lincoln Utd. taking it.
  • Romulus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lincoln Utd. Clean Sheet 16%
Romulus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln Utd. Romulus
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.39 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2016 FA Trophy
Romulus vs Lincoln Utd.
1:3
Oct 8, 2016 FA Trophy
Lincoln Utd. vs Romulus
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Utd. 84 / 100
Romulus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln Utd. Romulus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Utd. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lincoln Utd. scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Romulus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Romulus has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln Utd. VS Romulus
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln Utd.

(Home)
29 Aug
Lincoln Utd.
1 : 2
Nuneaton
10 Jul
Lincoln Utd.
2 : 1
Lincoln City U23
07 Jul
Basford Utd.
4 : 3
Lincoln Utd.
20 Sept
Lincoln Utd.
0 : 2
Malvern Town
06 Sept
Coventry Sphinx
0 : 2
Lincoln Utd.
Page 1 of 7

Romulus

(Away)
18 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 0
Romulus
03 Sept
Basford Utd.
5 : 0
Romulus
07 Sept
Romulus
0 : 4
Buxton
22 Sept
Neots
4 : 3
Romulus
08 Sept
Romulus
4 : 0
Belper Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Town -
Skelmersdale -
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Burscough 1
Kendal 2
Goole 2
Belper Town 1
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Blyth Spartans -
Rushall -
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Halesowen -
Buxton -
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Tadcaster Albion 0
Glossop North End 2
Stourbridge -
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King’s Lynn -
Marine -
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Ashton United -
Bedworth United 5
Rugby 3
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Neots -
Hednesford -
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Basford Utd. 0
Stamford 1
Corby -
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Stafford -
St Ives Town -
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Chasetown 1
Carlton Town 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
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Loughborough Dynamo 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
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Frickley -
Workington -
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Whitby -
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett Albion 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cambridge City -
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Redditch -
Kidsgrove Athletic -
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Newcastle Town 1
Soham 3
Lancaster 4
Droylsden 2
Clitheroe 0
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell -
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Mossley AFC 4
Northwich Victoria 3
Radcliffe 1
Farsley 3
Stratford -
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Grantham Town -
Spennymoor -
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Matlock -
Trafford 2
Colne 1
Ossett Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Leamington -
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Mickleover -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7
Histon 2
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Coalville Town -
Gresley 4
Spalding United 1
Romulus 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Colwyn Bay 1
Hyde 0
Brighouse Town 2
Witton Albion 5
Market Drayton -
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Kettering -
Kings Langley -
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Heybridge -
Canvey Island -
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Enfield Town -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Didcot 0
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Banbury -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Slimbridge 1
Larkhall 2
Taunton Town 6
Dunstable Town -
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Norwich Utd 0
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 3
Kidlington 2
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Weymouth -
Dorchester -
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Farnborough 1
Barnstaple Town 5
Staines -
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Basingstoke -
Merthyr Town -
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Cinderford Town -
Bognor Regis -
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Slough Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Cirencester -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Great Wakering 1
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Billericay -
Brightlingsea 2
Dereham 1
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Metropolitan Police -
Uxbridge 4
AFC Dunstable 0
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Harlow -
Hanwell Town 4
Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 0
Bury Town 2
Evesham 1
Shortwood 0
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Frome Town -
Chippenham Town -
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Hereford 3
Salisbury 4
Hendon -
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Leiston -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Lowestoft -
Leatherhead -
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Chesham -
Merstham -
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Waltham Abbey -
Walton Casuals -
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Haringey Borough 1
Hythe 2
Burgess Hill -
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Beaconsfield Town -
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Thamesmead 1
Arlesey 2
Chalfont St Peter 8
Biggleswade Town -
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Aveley 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hayes & Yeading -
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Hitchin -
Folkestone -
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Whyteleafe 1
Cheshunt 3
Yate 2
Mangotsfield 0
Bridgwater United 3
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 3
Egham Town 0
Dorking Wanderers 3
Northwood 6
Tiverton 6
Paulton Rovers 1
AFC Totton 3
Wimborne 4
Needham Market -
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Godalming Town 0
Wroxham 3
Herne Bay 1
Barton 0
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Harrow Borough -
Cray Wanderers 6
Carshalton 3
Brentwood 1
Marlow 2
Kempston 5
Chipstead 3
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Worthing FC -
Phoenix Sports -
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Three Bridges 0
East Grinstead Town 4
Fleet Town 2
Bideford 1
Petersfield 2
Winchester City 4
Hastings 3
Ramsgate 0
Chatham 1
Aylesbury United 4
Faversham -
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Guernsey FC 0
South Park 2
Sudbury -
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Thurrock 1
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Horsham FC 2
Potters 0
Molesey 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Lewes 4
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Hornchurch 2
Ashford Town 3
Ware 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Greenwich Borough 2
VCD Athletic 3
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Semi-finals
Nantwich 2
Warrington Town 0
Skelmersdale 1
Kendal 3
Goole 2
Blyth Spartans 8
Rushall 1
Halesowen 2
Buxton 2
Glossop North End 0
Stourbridge 1
King’s Lynn 2
Marine 4
Ashton United 0
Bedworth United 2
Neots 3
Hednesford 4
Stamford 1
Corby 0
Stafford 2
St Ives Town 4
Carlton Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 6
Frickley 2
Workington 3
Whitby 4
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Prescot Cables 1
Cambridge City 1
Redditch 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Soham 3
Lancaster 1
Stocksbridge 2
Barwell 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
Mossley AFC 1
Farsley 3
Stratford 2
Grantham Town 6
Spennymoor 1
Matlock 2
Trafford 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Leamington 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Coalville Town 0
Gresley 2
Lincoln Utd. 4
Colwyn Bay 2
Witton Albion 4
Market Drayton 1
Kettering 5
Kings Langley 1
Heybridge 0
Canvey Island 2
Enfield Town 3
Bishops Cleeve 1
Banbury 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Taunton Town 5
Dunstable Town 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 0
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 3
Barnstaple Town 1
Staines 1
Basingstoke 4
Merthyr Town 6
Cinderford Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Cirencester 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Billericay 2
Brightlingsea 6
Metropolitan Police 2
Uxbridge 0
Harlow 1
Hanwell Town 2
Bury Town 1
Evesham 1
Frome Town 2
Chippenham Town 3
Salisbury 2
Hendon 0
Leiston 5
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Lowestoft 1
Leatherhead 2
Chesham 3
Merstham 5
Waltham Abbey 0
Walton Casuals 2
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 5
Beaconsfield Town 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 1
FC Witham Town 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Hitchin 1
Folkestone 3
Cheshunt 1
Yate 1
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 6
Northwood 3
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
Needham Market 2
Wroxham 0
Herne Bay 2
Harrow Borough 5
Cray Wanderers 4
Marlow 0
Kempston 1
Worthing FC 3
Phoenix Sports 3
East Grinstead Town 2
Fleet Town 1
Winchester City 2
Hastings 4
Aylesbury United 0
Faversham 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Horsham FC 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian 2
Lewes 1
Tonbridge 7
Ashford Town 4
Ware 3
VCD Athletic 1
Grays 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
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Final
Nantwich 2
Kendal 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Halesowen 3
Buxton 1
King’s Lynn 3
Marine 5
Neots 3
Hednesford 2
Stafford 3
St Ives Town 2
Leek Town 1
Shaw Lane 3
Whitby 0
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Redditch 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell 2
Farsley 3
Grantham Town 0
Matlock 2
Trafford 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Witton Albion 2
Kettering 1
Kings Langley 1
Enfield Town 0
Bishops Cleeve 0
Taunton Town 1
Dunstable Town 1
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 0
Basingstoke 3
Merthyr Town 2
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Billericay 0
Brightlingsea 2
Harlow 3
Hanwell Town 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 0
Leiston 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Chesham 0
Merstham 0
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 4
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 3
Hitchin 4
Folkestone 2
North Leigh 3
Royston Town 4
Wimborne 0
Needham Market 1
Harrow Borough 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Worthing FC 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Winchester City 3
Hastings 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Romford 0
Kingstonian 3
Tonbridge 2
Ware 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
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