Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linense vs Marilia

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Douglas Dias
Own Goal
45' Event
Santos V.
61' Event
Figueredo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Linense
20%
Draws
6%
Marilia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Marilia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Linense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Marilia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Linense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Linense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Linense Clean Sheet 68%
Marilia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linense Marilia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Copa Paulista
Marilia vs Linense
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Copa Paulista
Linense vs Marilia
3:1
May 25, 2021 Paulista A3
Linense vs Marilia
0:1
Jan 25, 2020 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Linense
0:1
Feb 17, 2010 Paulista A2
Linense vs Marilia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linense Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueredo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Vidal
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Marilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linense 95 / 100
Marilia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linense Marilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Linense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Linense found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Marilia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Linense VS Marilia
1.83 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Linense

(Home)
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2
Gremio Prudente
03 Aug
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Linense
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
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Marilia

(Away)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)