Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Cliftonville

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
McGee E.
56'
Sub
Wilson H. In: Thompson J.
Out: Wilson H.
56'
Sub
Samuels O. In: Conlan L.
Out: Samuels O.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Linfield and Cliftonville finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Linfield
15%
Draws
27%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cliftonville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Linfield a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Linfield Clean Sheet 20%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Cliftonville
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Cliftonville
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Cliftonville
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Linfield
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Linfield
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Cliftonville
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer McGee E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cliftonville Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 76 / 100
Cliftonville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Cliftonville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linfield went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Linfield scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Cliftonville let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Cliftonville's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Cliftonville
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Cliftonville

(Away)
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)