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Linfield vs Cliftonville Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
McStravick L.
8' Event
McKee C.
29' Event
McStravick L.

AI Match Summary

Cliftonville in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cliftonville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Linfield
15%
Draws
27%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cliftonville haven't matched Linfield's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Linfield a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Linfield Clean Sheet 20%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Cliftonville
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Cliftonville
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Cliftonville
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Linfield
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Linfield
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Cliftonville
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer McKee C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cliftonville Compare

Top Goalscorer McStravick L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 85 / 100
Cliftonville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Cliftonville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Linfield stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Linfield found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Cliftonville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Cliftonville registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Cliftonville
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
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Cliftonville

(Away)
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Larne 38 25 8 5 73:26 83
2 Coleraine 38 25 5 8 83:37 80
3 Glentoran 38 23 8 7 73:38 77
4 Linfield 38 19 9 10 61:33 66
5 Cliftonville 38 15 8 15 55:59 53
6 Dungannon 38 15 1 22 42:77 46
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)