Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Glentoran

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Leahy D.
23'
Shields C.
67'
Sub
Thomson J. In: Gallagher B.
Out: Thomson J.

AI Match Summary

Linfield in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Linfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Linfield
20%
Draws
19%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Linfield lately — more wins on the board than Glentoran.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Linfield taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Linfield Clean Sheet 20%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Glentoran
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Glentoran
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Linfield
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Linfield
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Glentoran
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Glentoran
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Leahy D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Millar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 85 / 100
Glentoran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Linfield remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Linfield scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Glentoran has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Glentoran
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran

(Away)
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)