Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Larne

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Windsor Park, Belfast
Linfield Logo

Linfield

0 - 2
FT
Larne Logo

Larne

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lusty M.
12'
Whiteside S.
46'
Sub
McEneff J. In: Doherty R.
Out: McEneff J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Larne in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Linfield
20%
Draws
40%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Larne have won more games recently than Linfield.
  • Linfield are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Linfield Clean Sheet 68%
Larne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Larne
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Larne
0:2
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Linfield
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Larne
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Linfield
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Linfield
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Lusty M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ridley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 95 / 100
Larne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linfield found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Linfield remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Larne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Larne
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
Page 1 of 6

Larne

(Away)
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0
Iberia 1999
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0
Larne
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4
Crvena zvezda
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1
Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1
Larne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Larne 38 25 8 5 73:26 83
2 Coleraine 38 25 5 8 83:37 80
3 Glentoran 38 23 8 7 73:38 77
4 Linfield 38 19 9 10 61:33 66
5 Cliftonville 38 15 8 15 55:59 53
6 Dungannon 38 15 1 22 42:77 46
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)