Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linfield vs Queens University

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup Windsor Park, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
McKee C.
56' Event
Yates M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Linfield
15%
Draws
39%
Queens University
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Linfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Linfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Linfield have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%
Queens University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linfield Queens University
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 Irish League Cup
Linfield vs Queens University
2:0
Oct 3, 2023 Irish League Cup
Linfield vs Queens University
3:1
Jan 4, 2020 Irish Cup
Queens University vs Linfield
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer McKee C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yates M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Queens University Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linfield 29 / 100
Queens University 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linfield Queens University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Linfield scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Queens University has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Linfield went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Linfield VS Queens University
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Linfield

(Home)
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
21 Aug
Linfield
1 : 0
Cliftonville
15 Aug
Linfield
2 : 1
Glentoran
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Queens University

(Away)
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Queens University
4 : 1
Institute
15 Aug
Newington FC
2 : 1
Queens University
11 Aug
Queens University
2 : 1
Harland & Wolff
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1