Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linguere vs Mbour

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Linguere Logo

Linguere

2 - 2
FT
Mbour Logo

Mbour

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Linguere
35%
Draws
36%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mbour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mbour have won more games recently than Linguere.
  • Win probability leans Linguere's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Linguere Clean Sheet 20%
Mbour Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linguere Mbour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 16 18
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.73 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Linguere vs Mbour
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Linguere
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Linguere
0:0
Nov 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Linguere vs Mbour
0:0
Jun 18, 2023 Ligue 1
Linguere vs Mbour
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linguere 42 / 100
Mbour 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linguere Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Linguere remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Linguere scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Mbour let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Linguere VS Mbour
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Linguere

(Home)
04 Jun
Linguere
1 : 1
Wally Daan
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Linguere
Page 1 of 6

Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)