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Linhares Futebol Clube vs GEL

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2009 game between Linhares Futebol Clube and GEL finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linhares Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Linhares Futebol Clube
6%
Draws
4%
GEL
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Linhares Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Linhares Futebol Clube come out ahead of GEL on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Linhares Futebol Clube's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Linhares Futebol Clube here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%
GEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linhares Futebol Clube GEL
Matches Played 39 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2025 Capixaba 2
Linhares Futebol Clube vs GEL
5:0
Apr 25, 2009 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs GEL
3:2
Mar 1, 2009 Capixaba
GEL vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linhares Futebol Clube 85 / 100
GEL 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linhares Futebol Clube GEL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GEL has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Linhares Futebol Clube's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Away concern: GEL has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Linhares Futebol Clube VS GEL
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus18113428:2136
2Rio Branco ES1887335:2131
3Jaguare1893630:2530
4Vilavelhense1884629:2728
5Linhares Futebol Clube1883718:1927
6Desportiva Ferroviaria1864826:2422
7Rio Bananal FC1863922:2621
8GEL18621024:3320
9Serra1854932:3919
10Colatinense18531025:3418