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Linhares Futebol Clube vs Jaguare

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Linhares Futebol Clube play Jaguare in the Campeonato Capixaba 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Linhares Futebol Clube averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Jaguare averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Linhares Futebol Clube won 1, Jaguare won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 3, 2010 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Linhares Futebol Clube and 2.00 for Jaguare. This points to a Jaguare double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Linhares Futebol Clube
28%
Draws
41%
Jaguare
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jaguare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Linhares Futebol Clube picked up more points recently compared to Jaguare.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linhares Futebol Clube Jaguare
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:1
Feb 10, 2010 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Jaguare
4:1
Apr 18, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Linhares Futebol Clube
0:0
Feb 21, 2009 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Jaguare
1:2
Apr 6, 2008 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Jaguare
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linhares Futebol Clube 30 / 100
Jaguare 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linhares Futebol Clube Jaguare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jaguare or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Linhares Futebol Clube attacking → ← attacking Jaguare

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linhares Futebol Clube scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Jaguare let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Linhares Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jaguare lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 45
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SAO Mateus18113428:2136
2Rio Branco ES1887335:2131
3Jaguare1893630:2530
4Vilavelhense1884629:2728
5Linhares Futebol Clube1883718:1927
6Desportiva Ferroviaria1864826:2422
7Rio Bananal FC1863922:2621
8GEL18621024:3320
9Serra1854932:3919
10Colatinense18531025:3418