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Lion City Sailors vs Pathum United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Jalan Besar Stadium, Singapore
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Match Events

24'
Osmanovic E.
25' Event
Nikolic M.
Own Goal
33'
Song Ui-Young

AI Match Summary

The AFC Champions League 2 game between Lion City Sailors and Pathum United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lion City Sailors
35%
Draws
32%
Pathum United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lion City Sailors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lion City Sailors are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lion City Sailors Clean Sheet 20%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lion City Sailors Pathum United
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.31 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Lion City Sailors vs Pathum United
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Singapore Cup
Pathum United vs Lion City Sailors
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lion City Sailors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pathum United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavsson P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lion City Sailors 49 / 100
Pathum United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lion City Sailors Pathum United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lion City Sailors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lion City Sailors scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lion City Sailors remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Pathum United conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lion City Sailors VS Pathum United
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lion City Sailors

(Home)
08 Oct
Lion City Sailors
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Hougang
2 : 2
Lion City Sailors
06 Sept
Lion City Sailors
2 : 0
Tampines
25 Aug
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 1
Lion City Sailors
Page 1 of 6

Pathum United

(Away)
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 East Bengal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Al Hussein 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Seeb 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)