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Lion City Sailors vs Shan United

Asia Asia

ASEAN Club Championship 2025/2026 Jalan Besar Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Lion City Sailors play Shan United in the ASEAN Club Championship 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lion City Sailors averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1 conceded. Shan United averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Lion City Sailors won 3, Shan United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 17, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Lion City Sailors and 1.88 for Shan United. This points to a Lion City Sailors double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lion City Sailors
15%
Draws
36%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lion City Sailors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Lion City Sailors picked up more points recently compared to Shan United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Lion City Sailors Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lion City Sailors Shan United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.57 2.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Lion City Sailors vs Shan United
3:2
Apr 11, 2018 AFC Cup
Lion City Sailors vs Shan United
3:2
Feb 13, 2018 AFC Cup
Shan United vs Lion City Sailors
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lion City Sailors Compare

Top Goalscorer Thy L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lestienne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hirota R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lion City Sailors 46 / 100
Shan United 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lion City Sailors Shan United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lion City Sailors or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lion City Sailors attacking → ← attacking Shan United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lion City Sailors scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Shan United let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Lion City Sailors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shan United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 58
3.50 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Buriram United F.C.523014:59
2Selangor52309:59
3Pathum United52219:78
4Cong An Ha Noi52129:67
5Tampines520310:176
6Cebu FC50142:131
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nam Dinh541013:313
2Johor DT532013:411
3Svay Rieng52219:58
4Bangkok Utd51226:125
5Lion City Sailors51136:124
6Shan United50053:140