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Lipno Steszew vs KKS Kalisz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lipno Steszew host KKS Kalisz in the III Liga - Group II. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Lipno Steszew at 1.2 goals for, 1.77 against; KKS Kalisz at 1.29 for, 1.75 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.88, favoring Lipno Steszew. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lipno Steszew
35%
Draws
39%
KKS Kalisz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: KKS Kalisz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • KKS Kalisz haven't matched Lipno Steszew's recent run of results.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipno Steszew KKS Kalisz
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipno Steszew 29 / 100
KKS Kalisz 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipno Steszew KKS Kalisz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lipno Steszew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KKS Kalisz conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Lipno Steszew scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Lipno Steszew stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

KKS Kalisz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lipno Steszew VS KKS Kalisz
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipno Steszew

(Home)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

KKS Kalisz

(Away)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3
KKS Kalisz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)