Sport Picks
Lipno Steszew vs Swinoujscie Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
29'
29'
Nowak O.
38'
38'
Kaczmarek D.
61'
61'
Szulc H.
AI Match Summary
Swinoujscie in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swinoujscie.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Swinoujscie at 1.45 per game, Lipno Steszew at 1.2.
- Model gives Swinoujscie a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Swinoujscie have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lipno Steszew | Swinoujscie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Swinoujscie
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Swinoujscie
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Lipno Steszew
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lipno Steszew Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaczmarek D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Swinoujscie Compare
Top Goalscorer Nowak O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Szulc H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lipno Steszew 10 / 100
Swinoujscie 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lipno Steszew Swinoujscie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swinoujscie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swinoujscie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Lipno Steszew scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Swinoujscie has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lipno Steszew VS Swinoujscie
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lipno Steszew
(Home) 03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
22 Aug
Lipno Steszew
2 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
15 Aug
Lipno Steszew
1 : 4 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 3
Swinoujscie
(Away) 03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
22 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 Swinoujscie
15 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 2 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33:16 | 27 |
| 2 | Luzino | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Swiecie | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | KKS Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Swinoujscie | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28:28 | 13 |
| 13 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Elana Torun | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 16 | Kotwica Kornik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 17 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
