Sport Picks
Lipuli vs Kagera Sugar Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 
Match Events
78'
78'
Swamad K.
AI Match Summary
Kagera Sugar in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kagera Sugar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lipuli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kagera Sugar lately — more wins on the board than Lipuli.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Lipuli taking it.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kagera Sugar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 68%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lipuli | Kagera Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Kagera Sugar
0:1
Nov 22, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Lipuli
2:1
Mar 3, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Lipuli
2:0
Oct 21, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Kagera Sugar
0:1
May 28, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Kagera Sugar
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lipuli Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Kagera Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Swamad K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lipuli 77 / 100
Kagera Sugar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lipuli Kagera Sugar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lipuli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lipuli scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Kagera Sugar conceded in 71% of 41 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Lipuli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kagera Sugar
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lipuli
(Home) 26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1 Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0 Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1 Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1 Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0 Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1 Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0 Kinondoni MC
14 Mar
Lipuli
0 : 1 Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 3
Kagera Sugar
(Away) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2 Kagera Sugar
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 9
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2 Kagera Sugar
22 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kagera Sugar
18 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0 Kagera Sugar
14 Apr
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
