Sport Picks

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Lipuli vs Simba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bocco J.

AI Match Summary

Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lipuli
15%
Draws
58%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Simba lately — more wins on the board than Lipuli.
  • Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 16%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lipuli Simba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 26
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 1
Goals Scored 1.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Simba
0:1
Dec 25, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Lipuli
4:0
Feb 26, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Simba
1:3
Nov 23, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Lipuli
0:0
Apr 21, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Simba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lipuli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Bocco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lipuli 10 / 100
Simba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lipuli Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipuli scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lipuli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Simba has conceded goals in 32% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Simba
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lipuli

(Home)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
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Simba

(Away)
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)