Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liria vs Mitrovica

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2024/2025 game between Liria and Mitrovica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Liria
35%
Draws
19%
Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Liria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liria come out ahead of Mitrovica on wins alone.
  • Liria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Liria here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Liria Clean Sheet 20%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liria Mitrovica
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 22 3
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.64 1
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Mitrovica
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Liria
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Liga e Pare
Liria vs Mitrovica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liria 58 / 100
Mitrovica 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liria Mitrovica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitrovica let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Liria scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Liria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liria VS Mitrovica
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liria

(Home)
19 Sept
2 Korriku
0 : 1
Liria
11 Sept
Liria
3 : 1
Vellaznimi
05 Sept
Istogu
1 : 0
Liria
30 Aug
Liria
2 : 1
Vjosa
23 Aug
Trepca 89
0 : 0
Liria
Page 1 of 7

Mitrovica

(Away)
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
23 Aug
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Kika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)