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Lisburn Distillery vs Finaghy FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Lisburn Distillery host Finaghy FC in the Irish Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Lisburn Distillery at 1.63 goals for, 3.63 against; Finaghy FC at 2 for, 4 against. Past meetings favor Lisburn Distillery slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 2.81, favoring Finaghy FC. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lisburn Distillery
20%
Draws
38%
Finaghy FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lisburn Distillery

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Lisburn Distillery has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Finaghy FC.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Lisburn Distillery.
  • Cup tournament structure in Irish Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 10%
Finaghy FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Distillery Finaghy FC
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 10 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 19 1
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 3.63 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Irish Cup
Lisburn Distillery vs Finaghy FC
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Distillery 40 / 100
Finaghy FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Distillery Finaghy FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisburn Distillery scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Finaghy FC let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Lisburn Distillery went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Finaghy FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisburn Distillery VS Finaghy FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2
3.63 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3