Sport Picks
Lisburn Distillery vs Finaghy FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
25%
35%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lisburn Distillery
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
25%
/ Low Confidence
- Finaghy FC haven't matched Lisburn Distillery's recent run of results.
- Lisburn Distillery are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Lisburn Distillery have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lisburn Distillery, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 10%
Finaghy FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisburn Distillery | Finaghy FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 1 |
| Wins | 10 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 19 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 Irish Cup
Lisburn Distillery vs Finaghy FC
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisburn Distillery 40 / 100
Finaghy FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisburn Distillery Finaghy FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Finaghy FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 1 outings.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Lisburn Distillery found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Lisburn Distillery remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lisburn Distillery VS Finaghy FC
1.63 Goals Scored 2
3.63 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisburn Distillery
(Home) 13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3 Lisburn Distillery
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2 Finaghy FC
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1 Lisburn Distillery
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2 Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2 Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2 Finaghy FC
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2 Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2 Harland & Wolff
08 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 4 Portadown
03 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
0 : 6 Glentoran
Page 1 of 3
Finaghy FC
(Away) 22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2 Finaghy FC
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2 Finaghy FC
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3
