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Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Scott C.
77' Event
Mcintyre R.

AI Match Summary

Derry City W in this Premiership Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derry City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lisburn Ladies W
6%
Draws
90%
Derry City W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lisburn Ladies W haven't matched Derry City W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Derry City W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Derry City W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lisburn Ladies W Clean Sheet 10%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Ladies W Derry City W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W
0:2
Jun 6, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisburn Ladies W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mcintyre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Ladies W 10 / 100
Derry City W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Ladies W Derry City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Lisburn Ladies W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Lisburn Ladies W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisburn Ladies W VS Derry City W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran W14130157:1039
2Cliftonville W14121142:637
3Linfield W14101359:1931
4Lisburn Rangers W1470724:2621
5Crusaders W1460824:3718
6Derry City W14401017:3512
7Lisburn Ladies W1411125:444
8Larne W14111210:614