Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lisburn Rangers vs Dergview

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup Stanley Park, Lisburn
Sat, Nov 22, 2025
5 - 4
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-4. This leg finished 5-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Lisburn Rangers
15%
Draws
12%
Dergview
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisburn Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lisburn Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Dergview.
  • Win probability leans Lisburn Rangers's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Lisburn Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lisburn Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lisburn Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisburn Rangers Dergview
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 0 8
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 2.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.56 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Irish Cup
Lisburn Rangers vs Dergview
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisburn Rangers 65 / 100
Dergview 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisburn Rangers Dergview

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisburn Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dergview let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Lisburn Rangers found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Dergview lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisburn Rangers VS Dergview
3.33 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisburn Rangers

(Home)
10 Jan
Limavady
4 : 1
Lisburn Rangers
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
27 Jul
Lisburn Rangers
4 : 1
Ballymena
25 Nov
Warrenpoint
6 : 1
Lisburn Rangers
02 Nov
Rathfriland Rangers
3 : 0
Lisburn Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Dergview

(Away)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3