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Lisse vs Aalsmeer

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lisse and Aalsmeer finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lisse
25%
Draws
35%
Aalsmeer
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lisse taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 16%
Aalsmeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse Aalsmeer
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 21 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 0.86 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Lisse vs Aalsmeer
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 84 / 100
Aalsmeer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse Aalsmeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisse scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Aalsmeer let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lisse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS Aalsmeer
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1
Lisse
Page 1 of 6

Aalsmeer

(Away)
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2
Aalsmeer
02 Sept
Aalsmeer
2 : 4
HZVV Hoogeveen