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Lisse vs Achilles 29 Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Vermeulen R.
46' Event
Vermeulen R.
58' Event
Vermeulen R.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2018/2019 game between Lisse and Achilles 29 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lisse
30%
Draws
29%
Achilles 29
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lisse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lisse Clean Sheet 20%
Achilles 29 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse Achilles 29
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 26 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.08 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.95 2.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Achilles 29
5:0
Dec 1, 2018 Derde Divisie
Achilles 29 vs Lisse
2:4
Feb 3, 2018 Tweede Divisie
Lisse vs Achilles 29
3:0
Oct 28, 2017 Tweede Divisie
Achilles 29 vs Lisse
2:1
Sep 23, 2008 KNVB Beker
Lisse vs Achilles 29
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisse Compare

Top Goalscorer Vermeulen R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Koomen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Achilles 29 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 85 / 100
Achilles 29 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse Achilles 29

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisse found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Achilles 29 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Lisse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
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Achilles 29

(Away)
20 Oct
Achilles 29
1 : 0
De Treffers
25 May
Achilles 29
1 : 3
ODIN '59
18 May
VV DOVO
3 : 3
Achilles 29
11 May
ASWH
4 : 1
Achilles 29
04 May
Achilles 29
1 : 1
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)