Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lisse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lisse have won more games recently than EVV.
- Model gives Lisse a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 17%
EVV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisse | EVV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 2.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs EVV
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisse 75 / 100
EVV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisse EVV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lisse scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
EVV has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Lisse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lisse VS EVV
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisse
(Home) 04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
Page 1 of 4
EVV
(Away) 03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2 VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1 RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1 EVV
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1 EVV
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1 EVV
16 Aug
GOES
3 : 2 EVV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
