Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lisse vs ONS Sneek

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Noordhoff T.
50' Event
Klijbroek J.
55' Event
Koylu K.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2019/2020 game between Lisse and ONS Sneek finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Lisse
15%
Draws
7%
ONS Sneek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Lisse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Lisse taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ONS Sneek have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 20%
ONS Sneek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse ONS Sneek
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 23 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.06 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2020 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs Lisse
4:1
Oct 12, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs ONS Sneek
4:1
Mar 9, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs ONS Sneek
0:1
Nov 3, 2018 Derde Divisie
ONS Sneek vs Lisse
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lisse Compare

Top Goalscorer Noordhoff T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klijbroek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

ONS Sneek Compare

Top Goalscorer Prijor G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 85 / 100
ONS Sneek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse ONS Sneek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisse found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

ONS Sneek let in goals in 100% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lisse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1
Lisse
Page 1 of 7

ONS Sneek

(Away)
03 Sept
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1
ONS Sneek
12 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0
ONS Sneek
09 Jul
Cambuur
11 : 0
ONS Sneek
07 Mar
Sparta Nijkerk
4 : 1
ONS Sneek
29 Feb
ONS Sneek
1 : 1
GOES
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)