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Lisse vs Rijnvogels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lisse host Rijnvogels in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Rijnvogels have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Lisse have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.77. Past meetings favor Rijnvogels slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.31 - 2.00) back Lisse to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lisse
15%
Draws
46%
Rijnvogels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lisse have won more games recently than Rijnvogels.
  • Win probability leans Rijnvogels's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lisse Clean Sheet 10%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lisse Rijnvogels
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 21 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.77 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Rijnvogels
1:4
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Lisse
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs Rijnvogels
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Lisse
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Lisse vs Rijnvogels
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lisse 14 / 100
Rijnvogels 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lisse Rijnvogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lisse scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Rijnvogels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Lisse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lisse VS Rijnvogels
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lisse

(Home)
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2
TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
Page 1 of 7

Rijnvogels

(Away)
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4
Rijnvogels
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)