Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lisse in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lisse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lisse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- TOGB haven't matched Lisse's recent run of results.
- Lisse are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lisse here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lisse Clean Sheet 20%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lisse | TOGB |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs TOGB
3:2
Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Lisse vs TOGB
4:0
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Lisse
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs TOGB
6:2
Jan 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Lisse
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lisse 58 / 100
TOGB 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lisse TOGB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lisse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lisse scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: TOGB conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Lisse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lisse VS TOGB
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lisse
(Home) 26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0 Lisse
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2 Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1 Lisse
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0 Excelsior Maassluis
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2 Aalsmeer
15 Aug
Lisse
4 : 1 Achilles Veen
Page 1 of 4
TOGB
(Away) 26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:6 | 16 |
| 5 | VV Scherpenzeel | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 7 | TEC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9:24 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 16 |
| 3 | Lisse | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 5 | GOES | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Gemert | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Dongen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 9 | VV Zwaluwen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 13 | UNA | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 14 | VVSB | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | TOGB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
