Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania U18 vs Estonia U18

World World

Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Sorga E.
71' Event
Lokk M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Estonia U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lithuania U18
20%
Draws
22%
Estonia U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lithuania U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lithuania U18 come out ahead of Estonia U18 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lithuania U18's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lithuania U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Estonia U18, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lithuania U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Estonia U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U18 Estonia U18
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Estonia U18
2:1
Jan 11, 2016 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Lithuania U18 vs Estonia U18
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Estonia U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorga E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lokk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U18 85 / 100
Estonia U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U18 Estonia U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia U18 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Lithuania U18 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Estonia U18 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U18 VS Estonia U18
1.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U18

(Home)
23 Mar
Malta U18
0 : 1
Lithuania U18
21 Mar
Malta U18
2 : 2
Lithuania U18
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
17 Nov
Lithuania U18
1 : 1
Finland U18
16 Nov
Lithuania U18
0 : 2
Finland U18
Page 1 of 6

Estonia U18

(Away)
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
25 Sept
Scotland U18
4 : 1
Estonia U18
23 Sept
Estonia U18
0 : 1
Poland U18
21 Sept
France U18
3 : 0
Estonia U18
26 Mar
Switzerland U18
0 : 1
Estonia U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Latvia U18 3
Slovakia U18 2
Azerbaijan U18 1
Belarus U18 2
Kazakhstan U18 2
Japan U18 3
Moldova U18 2
Bulgaria U18 3
Lithuania U18 0
Estonia U18 2