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Lithuania U19 vs Latvia U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Galajevs M.
31'
Pukelis O.
34'
Struks I.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between Lithuania U19 and Latvia U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latvia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lithuania U19
30%
Draws
29%
Latvia U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lithuania U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lithuania U19 come out ahead of Latvia U19 on wins alone.
  • Lithuania U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lithuania U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Latvia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania U19 Latvia U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
Latvia U19 vs Lithuania U19
0:1
Nov 18, 2025 Euro U19
Lithuania U19 vs Latvia U19
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Latvia U19
2:1
Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International
Lithuania U19 vs Latvia U19
0:2
Jun 14, 2023 Friendly International
Latvia U19 vs Lithuania U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbaliauskas N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Latvia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Galajevs M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kukulis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U19 67 / 100
Latvia U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania U19 Latvia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U19 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Latvia U19 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lithuania U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U19 VS Latvia U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U19

(Home)
06 Jun
Estonia U19
3 : 1
Lithuania U19
04 Jun
Latvia U19
0 : 1
Lithuania U19
31 Mar
Lithuania U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
25 Mar
Azerbaijan U19
0 : 4
Lithuania U19
18 Nov
Lithuania U19
1 : 2
Latvia U19
Page 1 of 6

Latvia U19

(Away)
08 Jun
Latvia U19
3 : 2
Estonia U19
04 Jun
Latvia U19
0 : 1
Lithuania U19
21 May
San Marino U19
0 : 0
Latvia U19
18 May
Slovakia U19
1 : 1
Latvia U19
15 May
Latvia U19
0 : 3
Belarus U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 13:3 9
2 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ireland U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Cyprus U19 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Hungary U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Bulgaria U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U19 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Greece U19 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Belarus U19 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Israel U19 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Luxembourg U19 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Slovakia U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Montenegro U19 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Albania U19 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Serbia U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Georgia U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U19 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Finland U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Iceland U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Andorra U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Latvia U19 3 1 1 1 4:10 4
3 Lithuania U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Scotland U19 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 Poland U19 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Moldova U19 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
2 Sweden U19 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Switzerland U19 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
4 San Marino U19 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U19 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Belgium U19 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 North Macedonia U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Estonia U19 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Norway U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Kosovo U19 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Armenia U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 1 0 12:3 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 2 0 1 2:4 6
3 Azerbaijan U19 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Malta U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams