Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 2025 Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava

Lithuania U21

0 - 1

Iceland U21

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Sub

Dziugas M. In: Burdzilauskas E.

Out: Dziugas M.

57'

Kersys K.

57'

Ellertsson M. E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iceland U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iceland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Lithuania U21

35%

Draws

50%

Iceland U21

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iceland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Iceland U21 have won more games recently than Lithuania U21.
Model gives Iceland U21 a 50% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Lithuania U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lithuania U21	Iceland U21
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	2	13
Draws	6	5
Losses	20	11
Goals Scored	0.82	1.72
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Euro U21

Iceland U21 vs Lithuania U21

0:2

Oct 17, 2023 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Iceland U21

0:1

Jun 10, 2003 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Iceland U21

3:0

Oct 15, 2002 Euro U21

Iceland U21 vs Lithuania U21

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannsson D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania U21 10 / 100

Iceland U21 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lithuania U21 Iceland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U21 scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Iceland U21 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Lithuania U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania U21 VS Iceland U21

0.63 Goals Scored 1.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania U21

(Home)

09 Jun

Lithuania U21

2 : 2

Latvia U21

07 Jun

Estonia U21

2 : 2

Lithuania U21

27 Mar

Ukraine U21

1 : 1

Lithuania U21

18 Nov

Lithuania U21

1 : 2

Turkey U21

13 Nov

Croatia U21

4 : 0

Lithuania U21

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Iceland U21

(Away)

25 Sept

Iceland U21

1 : 1

France U21

30 Mar

France U21

2 : 1

Iceland U21

26 Mar

Iceland U21

6 : 2

Estonia U21

13 Nov

Luxembourg U21

1 : 3

Iceland U21

14 Oct

Iceland U21

2 : 1

Luxembourg U21

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