Sport Picks
Lithuania U21 vs Iceland U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava 
Match Events
20'
20'
Sub
Dziugas M. In: Burdzilauskas E.
Out: Dziugas M.
57'
57'
Kersys K.
57'
57'
Ellertsson M. E.
AI Match Summary
Iceland U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iceland U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iceland U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Iceland U21 have won more games recently than Lithuania U21.
- Model gives Iceland U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lithuania U21 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lithuania U21 | Iceland U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2024 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Lithuania U21
0:2
Oct 17, 2023 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Iceland U21
0:1
Jun 10, 2003 Euro U21
Lithuania U21 vs Iceland U21
3:0
Oct 15, 2002 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Lithuania U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lithuania U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Iceland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Johannsson D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lithuania U21 10 / 100
Iceland U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lithuania U21 Iceland U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ICE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iceland U21 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Lithuania U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Lithuania U21 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lithuania U21 VS Iceland U21
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lithuania U21
(Home) 09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2 Latvia U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2 Lithuania U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1 Lithuania U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2 Turkey U21
13 Nov
Croatia U21
4 : 0 Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2 Latvia U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2 Turkey U21
09 Sept
Lithuania U21
1 : 1 Hungary U21
05 Sept
Lithuania U21
0 : 4 Ukraine U21
21 Mar
Lithuania U21
0 : 2 Latvia U21
Page 1 of 3
Iceland U21
(Away) 30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1 Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2 Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3 Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1 Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0 Iceland U21
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1 Iceland U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3 Iceland U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0 Iceland U21
08 Sept
Estonia U21
1 : 1 Iceland U21
05 Jun
Brazil U20
0 : 0 Iceland U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy U21 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Norway U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Ireland U21 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Turkey U21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Latvia U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 6 | San Marino U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1:51 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Belgium U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Scotland U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:11 | 16 |
| 4 | Hungary U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Kazakhstan U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 6 | Malta U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:35 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands U21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 32:3 | 30 |
| 2 | Georgia U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:10 | 17 |
| 4 | North Macedonia U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Moldova U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 6 | Gibraltar U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3:31 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 35:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Poland U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Bulgaria U21 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Kosovo U21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Estonia U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:31 | 7 |
| 6 | Israel U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Finland U21 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Switzerland U21 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 4 | Albania U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 16 |
| 5 | Montenegro U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Armenia U21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U21 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 41:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Ukraine U21 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Serbia U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 4 | Northern Ireland U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Luxembourg U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4:30 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 33:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Croatia U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:14 | 22 |
| 3 | Greece U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands U21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus U21 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:20 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra U21 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovenia U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 2 | France U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Austria U21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Cyprus U21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:23 | 5 |
| 5 | Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 17 |
| 2 | Czech Republic U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 3 | Wales U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Lithuania U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
