Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania vs Georgia

World World

Friendly International S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Tutyskinas A.
37'
Mamageishvili G.
62'
Sub
Sirgedas G. In: Sesplaukis D.
Out: Sirgedas G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Lithuania and Georgia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Georgia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lithuania
20%
Draws
46%
Georgia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Georgia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Georgia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 12%
Georgia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania Georgia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.82 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Friendly International
Lithuania vs Georgia
0:2
Mar 24, 2018 Friendly International
Georgia vs Lithuania
4:0
Nov 21, 2007 Euro
Georgia vs Lithuania
0:2
Jun 2, 2007 Euro
Lithuania vs Georgia
1:0
Feb 9, 2005 Friendly International
Georgia vs Lithuania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Georgia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikautadze G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania 35 / 100
Georgia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania Georgia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Georgia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Georgia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lithuania scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Lithuania went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania VS Georgia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania

(Home)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0
Lithuania
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Georgia

(Away)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1
Romania
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2
Israel
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1
Georgia
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