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Lithuania W vs Latvia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Miksone K.
69' Event
Andersone A.
86' Event
Seskute M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Lithuania W and Latvia W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latvia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lithuania W
20%
Draws
0%
Latvia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lithuania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Latvia W's 1.39 goals per match outpaces what Lithuania W have produced (1.17).
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 68%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania W Latvia W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 Friendly International Women
Lithuania W vs Latvia W
0:3
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Lithuania W vs Latvia W
2:1
Oct 9, 2022 Friendly International Women
Latvia W vs Lithuania W
1:2
Feb 22, 2022 Friendly International Women
Lithuania W vs Latvia W
0:1
Jun 10, 2021 Friendly International Women
Lithuania W vs Latvia W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Latvia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miksone K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andersone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania W 95 / 100
Latvia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania W Latvia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Latvia W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lithuania W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania W VS Latvia W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
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Latvia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
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