Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lithuania W vs Montenegro W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai, Druskininkai
Our Tip

Match Events

66'
Lazdauskaite U.
67' Event
Desic M.
Assist: Janjusevic A.
70'
Sub
Kriauciunaite E. In: Blazevicute J.
Out: Kriauciunaite E.

AI Match Summary

Montenegro W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montenegro W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Lithuania W
30%
Draws
8%
Montenegro W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lithuania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Montenegro W average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Lithuania W's 1.17.
  • Model gives Lithuania W a 62% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Montenegro W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 68%
Montenegro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lithuania W Montenegro W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Lithuania W vs Montenegro W
0:1
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Montenegro W vs Lithuania W
3:1
Apr 9, 2013 World Cup Women
Lithuania W vs Montenegro W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lithuania W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Montenegro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Desic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lithuania W 95 / 100
Montenegro W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lithuania W Montenegro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lithuania W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Montenegro W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lithuania W VS Montenegro W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
Page 1 of 6

Montenegro W

(Away)
09 Jun
Albania W
5 : 2
Montenegro W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Montenegro W
1 : 4
Czech Republic W
14 Apr
Czech Republic W
5 : 0
Montenegro W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams