Sport Picks
Liverpool M. vs Boston River - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 
Match Events
90'
90'
Avenatti F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liverpool M.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Liverpool M. lately — more wins on the board than Boston River.
- Liverpool M. are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Liverpool M. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Liverpool M., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Liverpool M. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%
Boston River Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool M. | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Boston River
1:0
Sep 2, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Liverpool M. vs Boston River
0:1
Jun 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Liverpool M.
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Liverpool M.
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Boston River
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool M. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Boston River Compare
Top Goalscorer Avenatti F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool M. 68 / 100
Boston River 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool M. Boston River
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool M. scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Boston River's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Liverpool M. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Boston River registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool M. VS Boston River
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool M.
(Home) 03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2 Progreso
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2 Liverpool M.
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0 Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2 Progreso
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0 Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
Page 1 of 3
Boston River
(Away) 04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0 Juventud
26 Sept
Penarol
2 : 1 Boston River
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2 Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Penarol
2 : 1 Boston River
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
21 Aug
Albion
2 : 3 Boston River
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Danubio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Atenas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Defensor Sp. | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Cerrito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Albion | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Fenix | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
| 4 | Colon | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)
