Sport Picks
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo 
Match Events
89'
89'
Macchia V.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liverpool M.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Liverpool M. lately — more wins on the board than Cerro Largo.
- Model gives Liverpool M. a 61% chance of winning this.
- Liverpool M. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Liverpool M., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liverpool M. | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
1:0
Aug 30, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Jun 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M.
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liverpool M. Compare
Top Goalscorer Macchia V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Cerro Largo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liverpool M. 86 / 100
Cerro Largo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liverpool M. Cerro Largo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Liverpool M. went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Liverpool M. scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Cerro Largo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Cerro Largo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Liverpool M. VS Cerro Largo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Liverpool M.
(Home) 21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Penarol
09 Oct
Maldonado
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2 Progreso
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Penarol
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2 Progreso
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0 Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Largo
(Away) 21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
16 Oct
CA Cerro
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
11 Oct
Cerro Largo
0 : 1 Albion
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0 Rentistas
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
16 Oct
CA Cerro
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
San Carlos -
TBD -
Boston River 1
River Plate Montevideo 0
Libertad San Carlos -
TBD -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Porongos -
TBD -
Maldonado 4
Albion 1
Ferro Carril -
TBD -
Club Nacional 3
Rentistas 0
Wanderers Durazno -
TBD -
Central Esp. 0
Danubio 6
Lito -
TBD -
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Gladiador -
TBD -
Liverpool M. 1
Cerro Largo 0
Nacional Florida -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
1/8-finals
San Carlos -
Boston River -
Libertad San Carlos -
TBD -
Porongos -
Maldonado -
Ferro Carril -
Club Nacional -
Wanderers Durazno -
Danubio -
Lito -
Wanderers -
Gladiador -
Liverpool M. -
Nacional Florida -
Juventud -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
