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Liverpool M. vs Colon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Barcelo F.
60' Event
Barcelo F.
90' Event
Laquidain S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Liverpool M.
15%
Draws
34%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Liverpool M. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool M. taking it.
  • Liverpool M. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool M., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%
Colon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool M. Colon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Liverpool M. vs Colon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcelo F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Laquidain S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Colon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool M. 50 / 100
Colon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool M. Colon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liverpool M. scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Liverpool M. has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool M. VS Colon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool M.

(Home)
05 Nov
Gladiador
0 : 2
Liverpool M.
01 Nov
Liverpool M.
2 : 0
Juventud
25 Oct
Club Nacional
0 : 1
Liverpool M.
21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Cerro Largo
18 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Penarol
Page 1 of 6

Colon

(Away)
01 Nov
Colon
1 : 0
Atenas
26 Oct
Paysandu FC
3 : 2
Colon
16 Oct
Colon
3 : 0
Huracan FC
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Colon
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Wanderers 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)