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Liverpool M. vs Racing Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Alvarez F.
28'
Strasorier S.
38'
Manzur I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Liverpool M. and Racing Montevideo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Liverpool M.
20%
Draws
23%
Racing Montevideo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liverpool M. come out ahead of Racing Montevideo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Liverpool M.'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool M. Racing Montevideo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
May 22, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool M.
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Racing Montevideo
2:2
Apr 14, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Liverpool M.
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool M. 95 / 100
Racing Montevideo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool M. Racing Montevideo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool M. scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Racing Montevideo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Liverpool M. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Racing Montevideo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool M. VS Racing Montevideo
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool M.

(Home)
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2
Progreso
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1
Liverpool M.
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Racing Montevideo

(Away)
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1
Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1
Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 9 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)