Sport Picks

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Liverpool vs Nottingham

England England

Premier League Anfield, Liverpool
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liverpool host Nottingham in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nottingham have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Liverpool have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Liverpool slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.88) back Liverpool to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Liverpool
40%
Draws
29%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nottingham haven't matched Liverpool's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liverpool Nottingham
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Nottingham vs Liverpool
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Nottingham
0:3
Jan 14, 2025 Premier League
Nottingham vs Liverpool
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Nottingham
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Liverpool
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liverpool 30 / 100
Nottingham 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liverpool Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liverpool scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Nottingham conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Liverpool went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liverpool VS Nottingham
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2
Liverpool
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Chelsea
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2
Liverpool
25 Apr
Liverpool
3 : 1
Crystal Palace
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Nottingham

(Away)
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2
Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2
Nottingham
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Newcastle Utd
07 May
Aston Villa
4 : 0
Nottingham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal00000:00
2Aston Villa00000:00
3Chelsea00000:00
4Everton00000:00
5Fulham00000:00
6Liverpool00000:00
7Manchester City00000:00
8Manchester United00000:00
9Newcastle Utd00000:00
10Sunderland00000:00
11Tottenham00000:00
12Coventry00000:00
13Crystal Palace00000:00
14Hull City00000:00
15Ipswich00000:00
16Bournemouth00000:00
17Brighton00000:00
18Leeds00000:00
19Nottingham00000:00
20Brentford00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)